QE3 is a Mistake

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The Fed made a mistake today in launching QE3. This is not just my opinion. It is the overwhelming opinion of America’s CFOs. In the Duke University-CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey released September 10, 2012, we asked a key … Continue reading


CFOs: Lower Rates via QE3 Will Not Spur Corporate Investment

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I hope members of the FOMC will read this before their meeting on Thursday. The Duke-CFO Survey, released on September 11, 2012, provides sharp, new evidence that QE3 will not stimulate economic growth. CFOs clearly tell us (647 of 667 … Continue reading


QE Won’t Work This Time

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There are two upcoming FOMC meetings: July 31-August 1, 2012 and September 12-13, 2012. With high likelihood, we will see another round of Quantitative Easing – or QE. Economists are split as to whether there would be any real benefit … Continue reading


Wrong time, wrong place for floating rate debt

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Testifying before Congress back in 1993, when interest rates were 7.5%, I advocated shifting some of the Federal debt to floating rate debt. If the Treasury had shifted half of the debt to floating rate at that time, they would … Continue reading


Confronting Global Risks

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I am doing a live Webinar on April 11, 2012 at 11:00am ET. It is called Confronting Global Risks. There is a preparatory video that is available here. The live session will take your questions. The basic topics are: I … Continue reading


Treating the Symptoms

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A massive €530 billion liquidity injection occurred in Europe today in the form of LTRO. This helicopter drop does not solve the Eurozone’s problems: it merely delays them. The ECB is treating the symptoms not the disease.


New videos posted

I have just posted a number of videos that deal with current global macro events. They can be viewed on the gardenofecon youtube channel here. Will the austerity measures in Greece lead to a breakdown in civil society that breaks … Continue reading


The Run on Europe

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There is a lull in negative news from Europe. However, it is short lived. There are four facts that are very important to understand: Most European banks are insolvent The ECB is massively monetizing to keep the system operational Germany … Continue reading


Seven new videos posted

I have posted seven new videos to https://www.youtube.com/gardenofecon Topics include: • What do you think of the announcement from the EU about a fiscal compact? • Is it a big deal that the U.K. is not in the agreement? • … Continue reading


The Last Man Standing

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Which is a greater force driving volatility: uncertainty about whether the U.S. can get its budget act together or Europe’s future? I would argue that Europe poses a much greater risk — and it is less understood in U.S. markets. … Continue reading