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Category Archives: Finance
U.S. Bitcoin Exchange Launched by Coinbase
Here is an unedited version of the interview I did with NPR’s Marketplace regarding today’s announcement by Coinbase that they have opened a U.S. exchange for the trading of bitcoin. I am also quoted in today’s Wall Street Journal here. Q. Why … Continue reading
Understanding the latest QE
On January 22, 2015, the European Central Bank announced a new QE program. In this audioblog, I attempt to decode what was done and the risks that it involves. 1. What is QE? Campbell Harvey: (MP3) 2. What is the … Continue reading
Flukes and Snake Oil
I have just posted a new paper on a fundamental problem that all scientists face: how do you evaluate whether a discovery is true or just a fluke? We are accustomed to using a “two sigma” rule. If the effect … Continue reading
Posted in Finance
Tagged Campbell Harvey, Higgs Boson, Multiple tests, Sharpe Ratio, Two sigma
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Most Claims of Financial Product Outperformance are False
Q: Investors often rely on financial research when developing strategies. Your recent findings suggest they should be wary. What did you find? Campbell Harvey: My paper is about how we conduct research as both academics and practitioners. I was inspired … Continue reading
Posted in Finance
Tagged Campbell Harvey, financial research, multiple testing, trading strategies
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Duke Bitcoin Conference
Here is a link to the panel discussion from Duke Bitcoin conference: Jon Hilsenrath from WSJ, Eric Martindale of Bitpay, and me: https://youtu.be/PSQxOT7Kfxc. Also my cryptofinance paper can be downloaded here.
Three intro videos on Bitcoin
I recently shot three intro videos on the topic of Bitcoin. The idea is to understand the basics. I devoted a considerable amount of my International Finance course to cryptofinance. I have a detailed slide deck that is available on … Continue reading
Roman Centurions and the Price of Gold Today
On August 23, 2011, the price of gold reached $1,913.50. Today the price is $1,450 – a drop of over 25%. What is going on? Why should we care?
The Downgrade of France
On November 19, 2012, Moody’s downgraded France one notch from Aaa to Aa1. There are two key questions: why did it take so long? and why only downgrade one notch?
Posted in Finance
Tagged Austerity, Euro crisis, France, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign spreads
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Four New Videos Posted
I just posted four new videos to my youtube channel, The Garden of Econ. The videos are from a live session that dealt with the state of the economy, the fiscal cliff, and the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Fiscal Cliff, … Continue reading
QE3 is a Mistake
The Fed made a mistake today in launching QE3. This is not just my opinion. It is the overwhelming opinion of America’s CFOs. In the Duke University-CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey released September 10, 2012, we asked a key … Continue reading
Posted in Finance
Tagged Capital Investment, Duke-CFO Survey, Federal Reserve, FOMC, QE3, Unemployment
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